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Black Twitter Drags Marie Claire For Saying Kendall Jenner Takes... Drake Bell Slams "Repulsive" Justin Bieber, Lady Gaga; Attacks... The summer movie season is getting underway earlier than ever this year with Friday's release of Marvel's “Captain America:Winter Soldier,” and Fox's sequel to “Rio” the week after. But the real blockbuster pile-up begins in May. Every week for four months, studios will release at least one movie — sometimes two or three — they expect to gross at least $100 million. Some of them — sequels like “X-Men: Days of Future Past,” “How to Train Your Dragon 2” and “Transformers: Age of Extinction” — are guaranteed to make money. But there are plenty of franchise aspirants that could self-destruct. Think “After Earth” or “Lone Ranger” last summer. Studios will look to Angelina Jolie, Channing Tatum and Seth MacFarlane to guide them through the sand traps. But none of them are sure bets, which makes this summer all the more interesting. Here are the nine biggest questions for Hollywood over the next few months. 1. Paramount has adopted a less is more approach for the summer, releasing just three movies. There is a wild card to this risk-averse strategy: Michael Bay. He produced two of Paramount's three movies, “Transformers: Age of Extinction,” which he also directed, and “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles,” an extravagant reboot of the popular comic book. Bay is a vital partner for Paramount given his stewardship of the “Transformers” franchise, which has grossed $2.67 billion worldwide at the box office. This latest battle of Decepticons and Autobots, in which Mark Wahlberg replaces Shia LaBeouf, will gross hundreds of millions (if not billions). Yet for Paramount to escape this summer unscathed, it will need “Turtles” to work as well. With a budget north of $120 million, that is no guarantee. Bay, the excitable, talented alchemist of comedy and explosions will need to be something new — consistent. 2. Seth MacFarlane built a television empire worth billions by blending sardonic wit with childish humor. Yet many doubted he could transition successfully into the movie business. He silenced critics with “Ted,” a comedy about a talking, drinking, womanizing teddy bear that grossed $549 million at the box office in 2012. It simultaneously initiated the resurgence of Universal and established MacFarlane as a filmmaker. Before suiting up for “Ted 2,” MacFarlane returns with “A Million Days to Die in the West,” a Western comedy produced by Media Rights Capital. Once again, he will face doubts. We know MacFarlane can write and direct, but he also stars in this one, anthropomorphizing a voice viewers have heard for years. He has also selected a genre, the Western, which Hollywood shuns, ostensibly, because those movies don't make money. Well, except when a singular talent like Quentin Tarantino makes one. MacFarlane is cut from a similar cloth. 3. Overeager journalists, bloggers and social media pontificators prematurely label movies flops all the time. Many buried “Noah” before it opened, just as most of Hollywood gave up on “World War Z” last summer. Yet a funny thing happens with a lot of those “flops”: God, also known as the foreign market, intervenes. Take last summer's “Pacific Rim.” The movie grossed $101.8 million in the U.S., a paltry sum given its $190 million budget (and many suspect it cost a lot more). People labeled the movie a failure. Yet it saved itself from damnation by grossing $309 million overseas ($111.9 million in China alone). Will Legendary be making the sequel Guillermo Del Toro thought up? No. Was that movie a huge flop? No. There are several candidates for overseas salvation this summer, in particular “Edge of Tomorrow” — Tom Cruise plays big overseas — and “Jupiter Ascending. 4. Last summer Tatum was on the cover of Vanity Fair, being crowned Hollywood's next leading man. He had starred in a string of movies that achieved commercial success, critical adulation or both. There were romantic comedies (“The Vow”), action comedies (“21 Jump Street”), stripper comedies (“Magic Mike”) and even a drama — “Side Effects. “White House Down” opened in theaters around the same time that cover appeared on newsstands. A flop of colossal proportions, it precipitated a rash of changes at Sony. Few blamed Tatum for the failure of the movie, which was not very good. Yet it did test Tatum's potential as an action star. Tatum will get a second chance in “Jupiter Ascending,” hitting theaters shortly after “22 Jump Street. Tatum and co-star Mila Kunis will need to rescue a couple of falling stars — Lana and Andy Wachowski — in “Jupiter Ascending.” Though responsible for one of the most electrifying and influential film trilogies in Hollywood history, “The Matrix,” they have not directed a successful film in more than a decade. Instead, they made two pricy misfires – “Speed Racer” and “Cloud Atlas.” To avert a third, Tatum and Kunis will need to prove they can carry a movie on their shoulders. 8. Angelina Jolie was the biggest female movie star in the world in 2010. Yet Jolie, the star of “Tomb Raider,” “Wanted” and “Salt,” has not appeared in a major motion picture since “The Tourist. She passed the time lending her voice to “Kung Fu Panda,” indulging her desire to direct and executive producing a movie set in Ethiopia. She also earned praise for her advocacy, for charities and women's health, among other causes. “Maleficent,” a $130 million tale of the villain from “Sleeping Beauty,” will test whether that reprieve diminished Jolie's box office clout or made audiences hungry for her return. Producer Joe Roth has been very successful at reviving and revising classic tales such as “Alice in Wonderland” and “The Wizard of Oz. 5th-Apr-2014 02:44 pm (UTC)Uh I can actually see Maleficent doing extremely well. And I don't think channing will save that Jupiter movie. I don't think he's as popular as Hollywood believes. Well in action that is. 22 jump street will do well. 5th-Apr-2014 02:47 pm (UTC)And sadly the safest bet for which movie will gross 1 billion this year is the new Transformers movie. 5th-Apr-2014 02:49 pm (UTC)Snow White and the Huntsman did pretty well at the box office though? It made like $400 million worldwide.... I think people will go see Maleficent for her. (I always kind of thought the general public was maybe five years behind people who actually follow movie and celeb news intently. Maybe they won't care too much). I hope maleficent does well. 5th-Apr-2014 04:03 pm (UTC)I was rooting for the Wachowskis but Jupiter looks awful. 5th-Apr-2014 03:09 pm (UTC)I don't think Maleficent will do well. The character isn't one to pull in a huge audience. There aren't many similar villain characters where everyone would be dying to know the backstory. I'll see it though, just for her. 5th-Apr-2014 03:23 pm (UTC)For Jupiter Ascending it all depends on reviews. The trailer did not look good imo. 5th-Apr-2014 03:35 pm (UTC)Jupiter Ascending will flop hard. It's a weird as hell concept to begin with, and Channing is the last person they should have cast if they wanted to make it work. He looks ridiculous, and not in a good way. 5th-Apr-2014 03:52 pm (UTC)I don't think Maleficent would break any records but it would do alright. There's definitely interest in the movie. Common, it's Angelina fucking Jolie. 1) Transformers will do well but not TMNT. 2) Seth will surprise once again. 3) China saves everything and will do so for Edge of Tomorrow. 4) Channing will be around even if Jupiter Ascending flops since 22 Jump Street and other non-threatening romantic drama lead roles will keep his career afloat. 5) Maleficent will slay. And I don't fucking care, I enjoyed Speed Racer and Cloud Atlas especially. 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